THE PSEUDOSCIENCE OF PLANNING

The pseudoscience of planning seems almost neurotic in its determination to imitate empiric failure and ignore empiric success. (Jane Jacobs)

There is a specific kind of American dimness: the cult of expertise, which, by its very nature, blinds the person who practices it to every form of knowledge save the one that he understands. (David Denby)

One of the distinguishing characteristic of modern planning is its fall from grace. It is not uncommon at planning board meetings to witness the embarrassment and frustration of the municipal planners as their considered proposals are ignored by the elected officials they are supposedly advising. Nor is it rare to see a private planning consultant in a state of abject pandering towards citizens having no qualifications for an opinion beyond their presence at the meeting. What other profession is subject to such protracted public humiliations?

This fall has occurred in the living memory but it is not its history has been rewritten by the professional press in positive terms as an evolution of methodology.

Older planners remember ruefully that less than thirty years ago substantial changes to an urban fabric could be implemented with little or no public recourse.

Planning proposals involving wholesale demolition of neighborhoods were common to implement the Model Cities and the Highway Acts. Trust in the planner's conception of the higher good was then implicitly stronger than concern for the disruption of human lives.

In 1950, this trust had been well earned. The track record of the profession was one long concatenation of notable successes. Planners then had been, for seven decades, making cities substantially healthier, more beautiful and more functional. The rates of illness and mortality had been dropping for a century wherever planners had improved sanitation, segregated polluting industries and established healthful housing standards. They had brought order, greenery and civic art to the brutish, instant cities of the Nineteenth Century. Planners had devised many modern urban expansions that provide still today excellent quality of life and stable real estate values.

Planners, it seemed, could do no wrong. Having provided the beneficial effects, they enjoyed the correspondingly high standing of the doctor the engineer and the artist combined. An important sidelight of this prestige was an efficiency in implementation that would astound today's planners. Their advice, once sought, was often implemented directly, essentially without question or public process as we know it today. This accounts for the astonishing number of master plans, in the hundreds, implemented by Nolen, Olmstead Brothers and their cohort in the very few years available to their practice before 1929,

How different this is from the current experience. Without the public trust, years pass in "studies" to prove that even the most necessary plans will not be harmful. Proposals are doggedly questioned, every recommendation is suspect. The planner is essentially assumed to be guilty of incompetence or malicious intent until proven otherwise. The time which must be thus allocated has made planning very expensive, it is now considered a dispensable luxury.

Historians will point out that the loss of standing was a direct result of the (confidence)plans of the fifties and sixties. They are correct. The unprecedented failures were made possible by the unprecedented coincidence of four factors. The unquestioned confidence acquired through six decades of success. The unlimited means of the post-war economy. The discontinuity of apprenticeship caused by the hiatus of practice since 1929. The prestige of untested messianic concepts formulated by European avant-garde architects.

As the degree of failure became apparent, the corresponding opposition arose. At first it was disorganized. Then the planners themselves joined in, but rather than admit that it was a problem of the model, which was squarely a professional responsibility, they identified the "process" which shared it. They, in fact joined the opposition by formalizing the process of public involvement. From this abdication arose the quagmire of today. It has several manifestations.

Thus planning became the only profession. . . .

This degradation was well deserved. One does not experiment with communities; planning affects too many people for too long a time to warrant anything but the emulation of proven successes. In this it must not be confused with architecture where experimentation, if it fails, affects only a family or an institution which can move out of the building if necessary.

The failures of the sixties' the evisceration the cities, and the swallowing of the countryside by sprawl under the policies of the planning gods of the first generation of postwar planers more than justifies the lack of trust. Having thrown away in one generation the prestige that the profession had built up over a century of unalloyed success, the degradation is now carried by the next two generations which in fact have learned the lessons well and are again largely competent. But now the standing has not recovered. The stance of the planner, inculcated in schools is that of penitence. The correct attitude is to have a lack of confidence. To ask the stakeholders everything possible, in fact to act like the one was born yesterday and had been brought to learn what to do by the grace of the wise citizens. All as if the planner had been born yesterday in another plant and needed guidance over every detail. What other profession has so little standing?

The professional stance is now that of the slightly stooped penitent as they writing down the desires of the whatever self-selected mob happens to be in attendance and pandering to all notions whether wise, primitive, idiotic or merely selfish as if all were of value. Then making only the most tentative suggestions, vaguely and diagrammatically drawn, repeating the mantras of flexibility and process. The only person present in fact who must play at being tentative since all else are admired for being strident in their certainty.

This loss of standing, was it experienced by all of the allied professions which are also subject to public scrutiny? The answer amazingly is no. There are two specialties, both newer than planning which have near unassailable standing in the public process. One is environmentalism and the other is traffic engineering. The anecdotal information is endless ranging from the spectacle of a single, utterly uncharismatic engineer carrying the day on a road widening in the teeth of public opposition both organized and passionate. Or the proverbial little old ladies in tennis shoes pleading for a subspecies of some sort, utterly check-mating a battery of highly paid attorneys representing a development. And needles to say, when there is disagreement between a traffic issue and environmental one and one the prerogative of a plan, the latter is not even in the running. And let me add: even if the plan is correct, there is rarely a call for compromise, the blacktop and the green slice, dice, mangle and mange the plan with impunity.

Is there a lesson here for planners? Are the prerogatives of the human species as represented by a good plan, really categorically less important that that of other species whether biological or mechanical? Obviously not--the others are lower species,  as any but a specialist would argue. Well then, it must be the standing of the professions which represent them which are more effective. How are they different in presentation from planners? The single clearest difference is that they present on a scientific basis. There are always "studies" to be prepared which take a long time to doe (It will take six weeks o delineate that wetland", the studies are expensive the methodology is obscure (the black box program of the engineers) and the studies are thick, the terminology is precise and arcane. There are scores of terms and acronyms like A.D.T. /  L.O.S. / H.E.P. / W.E.T. / C.V.E.P., etc.--very impressive to the lay person and adding to that, completely standardized nationally. There is still nothing as unassailable in America as science.

Now let us compare this to the planning profession. In contrast everything is soft or as they say in the devastating vernacular: touchy-feely. Vaporous concepts all and to further discredit the profession, in no way standardized: Take the following terms currently in use by planners from as single narrow stripe, the New Urbanists to refer to the same thing. a T.O.D. a Pedestrian Pocket, a T. N. D. an Urban Village, a Quarter a District a Cell, and a Neighborhood. We cannot even communicate with each other in the presence of the public. Would you have any confidence in the medical profession if you overheard two doctors say "This patient has a problem with his Aorta, do you know what I mean by Aorta? Unlikely as it may seem I have been in exactly that situation in public on separate occasions, with all of the seven founders of the C.N.U.

It is obvious that a discipline, to be credible, needs a language held in common. It is also it seems to me, that this language must be technocratic in its origins. This has been the key to the success of the traffic and environmental professions, But, you say, planning for humans is too complex, there are too many variable to be scientifically based. That may well be so but so traffic behavior and so is nature. After all it is these selfsame humans that with all their variables that are driving the vehicles and let us not imagine that the ecosystem ( tug and everything is attached) of a planet can be simplified. The fact is, as any who have been present when the data is gathered and interpreted, there is constant call for discretionary decisions. The data, to put it bluntly is inadvertently or willfully cooked. This is inevitable and it is always so. Those who deny it are liars. Those who do not like hearing this should not attend the sessions where the objective process is deflected by economics or politicos. As Bismarck (referring to legislation) said: "Those who like to eat sausages should not watch them being made"

This is to say that both Engineering and Environmentalism are Pseudoscience. This term it turns out is the most interesting of Jane Jacobs statement as it is not one for which a remedy is called. The stricture to emulate empirical success is present the possibility of planning being a real science is not.

The Congress for the New Urbanism among its tasks is the restoration of the profession. What is being proposed is not just an alternative model or one additional option among others. It is the restoration of planning to a method that emulates empirical success. The empirical success of the traditional city, town, village neighborhood. The discipline of the Neighborhood the District and the Corridor. The discarding of the social and environmental value of suburban sprawl. To do this a discipline must be recreated that of the planner. To do so a vocabulary must be held in common. This vocabulary must be associated with principles which are known to succeed. The success will restore the profession to a standing which is only know a faint, incredible memory. The memory of Olmstead, Unwin and Nolen. The planners who made what are still by any measure, social economic and environmental still the most successful human communities.